Tuesday, January 13, 2026

Can Denmark Hold on to Greenland in the Wake of Trump’s Demand?

 

Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro has already been abducted by the US. The megalomaniac buffoon Donald Trump is boasting that the US now owns Venezuela. Given the extent to which Maduro’s security has been compromised, I would not bet on Delcy Rodríguez and her brother’s resolve to hold the country together; there is plenty of evidence to suggest that their hands were not clean.

I have always believed in physiognomy. Maduro’s eyes and moustache do reveal certain traits about the man: introversion, paranoia, lack of intelligence, and a largely self-serving nature. No wonder his security detail chose to look elsewhere when his hideout was invaded.

Trump has been shouting his intention to possess Greenland and to make Canada the US’s 51st State.

Despite all the bravado, I suspect Denmark will capitulate to his demand.

Geographically, the distance between Denmark and Greenland’s east coast is about 3,000 km, whereas the east–west width of Denmark itself is only about 450 km!

History says it all…
Denmark was invaded by Nazi Germany on 9 April 1940 and capitulated the same day, within about six hours of the invasion beginning. Fortunately, it was allowed to retain its government, parliament, and king, and control over much of its internal administration.

(Danish resistance did grow later in the war, especially after 1943, including an effective resistance movement and the famous rescue of Danish Jews.)

Greenland, with an area of approximately 2.16 million km², is the largest island in the world. However, about 80% of it is covered by ice. It has a population of about 60,000, of which the capital, Nuuk, accounts for roughly 20,000. There is no road network linking towns; travel is by air or sea.

Greenland’s population is remarkably homogeneous, with Kalaallit/Inuit (including mixed Inuit–Danish) accounting for about 88–90%, and Danes (and other Europeans) about 10–12%. The Inuit have strong fishing and hunting traditions.

Mineral Wealth
Greenland is said to host some of the world’s largest known rare-earth deposits, hence Trump’s salivation. However, these elements are associated with uranium, making mining politically and environmentally contentious in Greenland. (The government banned uranium mining in 2021.) Northeast Greenland is also believed to contain one of the largest and highest-grade undeveloped zinc–lead deposits in the world. However, the location is extremely remote. Some large iron ore and graphite deposits have also been identified.

But do you believe the Americans can economically mine these minerals?

Greenland Politically…
Greenland is not a colony of Denmark. It is a self-governing territory within the Kingdom of Denmark, with extensive autonomy. The relationship is constitutional, not administrative in the colonial sense. It is not part of the EU (Greenland withdrew in 1985). Denmark’s constitution formally applies, but most governing powers are devolved to Greenland.

Greenlanders are recognised as a distinct people under international law. Greenland controls most domestic policy areas. It has the right to declare independence if approved by a referendum and negotiated with Denmark. Denmark retains responsibility for foreign policy, defence and security, citizenship, monetary policy, and the Supreme Court. However, Greenland is consulted on foreign and security issues that directly affect it and may negotiate and sign international agreements in areas under its competence (e.g. fisheries and the environment).

Financial Relationship
Denmark provides an annual block grant of about USD 560–580 million. This accounts for around one-third of Greenland’s public budget.

The US operates Pituffik Space Base (formerly Thule Air Base) under agreements with Denmark, with Greenland being consulted.

Militarily…
Greenland does not have its own army; Denmark is responsible for its defence under NATO and existing arrangements. The day-to-day military footprint is small, with periodic rotations of units rather than a large permanent garrison – often with 100–550+ troops, including NATO partners for training exercises.

The only significant foreign military presence in Greenland is US personnel at Pituffik Space Base – with about 100 US military personnel and support staff in 2025.

The Reality…
Greenlanders are not politically hostile to the United States, but Trump’s acquisition proposal does appear to cause some political outcry in Greenland, but not loud.

Most Greenlanders understand that the US has been present since WWII, and that the US presence predates Trump by decades. The US is seen as essential for Arctic security and as a counterweight to overdependence on Denmark.

But to the outside world, Trump’s covetousness – or lust – is a blatant display of hegemonism in its crudest form.

That said, I suspect the natives may succumb to the lure of good money; after all, what difference does it make if Greenland comes under the US? Trump has offered USD 100,000 per person; that amounts only to USD 6 billion.

There is no need for the US to stage any invasion. All it has to do is declare to the world that Greenland is theirs. Period.

Some Anthropological Facts…
Around 985 AD, Erik the Red, a Norseman from Iceland (then under Norwegian influence), founded settlements in Greenland. These Scandinavian settlers were culturally and politically tied to Norway, not Denmark. Greenland became part of the Norwegian realm in 1261, when the Norse Greenlanders pledged allegiance to the King of Norway. Between 1397 and 1523, Denmark, Norway, and Sweden were united under one monarch. Greenland, as part of Norway, thus came under a Danish-led union, but legally remained Norwegian.

After Sweden left the union, Denmark and Norway remained united (1536–1814), and Greenland continued to be considered a Norwegian possession, even though Copenhagen administered it.

In 1814, Denmark lost Norway to Sweden after the Napoleonic Wars, but Denmark retained Norway’s overseas possessions (Greenland, Iceland, and the Faroe Islands). This was the legal moment when Greenland became formally Danish, despite its Norwegian origins.

The Inuit are Asiatic in ultimate origin, and their language clearly reflects this. Their ancestors originated in northeastern Siberia. During the last Ice Age, they crossed the Bering Land Bridge (Beringia) into the Americas. This migration occurred in multiple waves over thousands of years. The direct ancestors of Greenlandic Inuit (the Thule people) migrated eastward from Alaska across Arctic Canada to Greenland around c. 1200 AD. They do not identify themselves as “Asian” in any modern sense.

Conclusion
With this mad buffoon around, anything is possible. But he is also a TACO. He will chicken out if Denmark is smart enough to make the above picture happen!

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2 comments:

  1. As a land developer, Trump wants to own Green-land. He said owning it guarantees against Russia or China occupying it and gives the US rare earths mining rights.

    Yet by a 1951 agreement, Nato fellow member Denmark allows his US to expand its Pituffik Space Base there for military security.

    Also, miners know they will have a problem since the mineral deposits are frosted too deep underground to be extractively viable; besides, most processing is done in China and substitution will take years. The recent time when China delayed supply of RE magnets, auto and other production lines in the US ground to a halt.

    Which is also why this time Trump has demanded suppliers to guarantee periods of supply on threat of tariffs.

    But that will be difficult if China slows processing again which is all the more likely now that Trump threatens 25% more tariffs on China for buying Iran oil, a threat that dissolves the bonhomie with Xi at Busan besides rattling Modi whose India as co-buyer of Iran oil will see US tariffs increase to 75%. So much for Quad.

    Meanwhile, he has interdicted China-bound oil tankers from Venezuela and while he said oil from there for China can continue, his ExxonMobil CEO has retorted Venezuela's parlous heavy-crude oil sector is uninvestible; he has promptly excluded that corporation from the proposed US ripping off the only economy-saving asset of a sovereign state, and that after disabling the security detail using long-range acoustic devices to kidnap its president Maduro, plus wife.

    Most of the world including elements in his US congress have already expressed dismay with his military overreach in Venezuela. It has killed over 100 men in motorboats and another 100 in the bombings of Caracas against the UN Charter and the post-WWII US-designated international rules-based order of the old european Westphalian compact.

    Yet Trump said he operates only by his own morality, confident he will be protected by entombment of those critical impeachable photos from the Epstein files by his former young acquaintance, one Pam Bondi; his Secretary of State Rubio has also asked why oil in the US' Monroe orbit should go to US adversaries despite his earlier softening on China, and his White House deputy Chief of Staff Miller brazenly said the US must exercise its power as hegemon to do whatever it wants in its own sole interest.

    The Europeans know all this. They could try to appease Trump's desire for Greenland by physically putting their Nato forces there but he wants only US troops. He has offered to buy out Denmark and the Greenlanders but they have rebuffed. Denmark's Rasmussen has muttered if US annexes, it would be one Nato member against the transatlantic alliance.

    Trump figures they will cave in. He bets Europe needs the US more than the US needs Europe. Militarily for shoring European defense in the light Ukraine suffers 2 million non-conscripts and 200,000 AWOLs, and economy-wise, equalizing US exports as European trade, but not services, partner.

    In the absence of der Leyen, Rutte and Merz who have gone incognito from the media and the presence of only a stammering Starmer and a muttering Macron , Brussels will be chary of activating its financial options of subsidizing Greenland against any US tariff, monetizing its capital assets away from the dollar and incubating a ChinEuropa to inoculate against any fergusonian ChinAmerica come April when Trump visits Xi. It will huff but Trump will puff and get his way.

    After all, Trump wants Greenland for his Iron Dome to close its Arctic gap.

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    Replies
    1. 2/2

      Musk's 7,500 low-orbit Starlink satellites can be zapped, punching a hole in space surveillance and thus informational and communications warfare for all that Trump's proposed USD1.5 Trillion war budget can muster by way of a new fleet of Yamato-sized fighting ships.

      However, asides its global power-projecting 11 aircraft carrier fleets, the US already has over 800 strategically-located military bases throughout the world, many in two island-hopping chains surrounding China. It has asked Takaichi to temper her moustachioed saber-rattling even as it tries to play go with China as originator of the game and by mixing big military supply to Taipei with incense burning to Beijing.

      Trump has also signed off for Nvidia to sell its H200 AI chips to China which are however only 6 times faster than its H20 AI chips which are already rebuffed by China because Secretary of Commerce Luttnick smugly said the US wants to narcotize China's dependence on US chips so that she cannot progress her own. Hasn't he read about the opium war?

      Whether it be Venezuela today, Colombia, Cuba, Gaza, Greenland and Iran tomorrow, China has shown unremitting steadfastness to progress her own development in the face of the US' relentless proxy attacks on her.

      Her trade surplus is up 20% yoy to almost USD1.2 Trillion. She has shored her gold bullion holdings. Meloni and Merz must have noticed for they have asked theirs back from US safekeeping which has spiked its price again.

      Meanwhile, the US debt hits USD39 Trillion and tariffs are starting to take effect so that the US K-economy issue of many hampered by non-affordability despite higher wages is further enraged by the vblog-captured scenes of Homeland Security Secretary Noem's ICE agents accosting US citizens including one glocking the face of a single mum. Trump loses Minnesota next election.

      The next GCE question on Global Politics may well ask: Is Trump a (a) braggart, (b) bully, (c) both (d) none of the above? (2 marks). Guessing not allowed.

      In describing Europe's situation, Trump's pro-white hawks talk about civilizational erasure. But where is their civilizational culture in the first place that qualifies them to do so?

      Today, we have a hegemon with military, financial and technology powers but run on the fumes of twitter by a capricious, malicious, braggart and bully with low IQ, EQ and CQ who obsesses over the need to make his America great again by running over others which his US has usuriously extracted their last drops of blood, figuratively and literally.

      Peel the US onion and it shows China is still the US' core obsession. Yet it is repetitive to ask wherefrom this siege mentality by the world's hegemonic power? It can't be a sense of inadequacy that piles on a new tariff or guardrail hardly before the ink has dried on the last MOU. It can't be about a sundering rebalancing of power in a world increasingly integrated by supply chains, technologies and human cross-migration. It can't be about non-closure of past distracts or present challenges of genocidal extermination, climate restoration, mass hunger, forces majeure, tribal wars, income disparities, workforce aging, youth unemployment and pandemics.

      What does AI say? But one forgets, it is run by empire-building technocrats ensconced in Washington DC.

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