I remember an old western film starring Clint Eastwood, Lee Van Cleef and Eli Wallach – three gunslingers competing to find a fortune in a buried cache of Confederate gold amid the violent chaos of the American civil war in a movie called The Good, the Bad and the Ugly. I cannot remember the plot, but the title has stuck in my mind. Reflecting the players of the geopolitics of today, I thought it might be a good title for me to write about some of the world’s political leaders, but with an addition to the cast: the “Outright Stupid”.
To me, bad leaders are also ugly leaders, not in the physical sense, but certainly in the way they behave.
Let me start with America’s incoming president, Donald
Trump:
Donald 2.0 and his nominees
I love Chinese idioms. There is one that parallels “A leopard cannot change its spots” which reads 江 山 易 改, 本 性 难 移 (Jiāng shān yì gǎi; běn xìng nán yí), which literally says it is easier to change mountains and rivers than to alter one's character. Many Chinese characters share more or less the same pronunciation. 姓 (xìng) and 性 (xìng) are two of them. The former stands for surname (or family name) and the latter, one’s moral character. There is a line of wisdom connecting these two words here. One can easily change one’s identity to hide past embarrassments or misdeeds, but one’s true character will always remain. You can this time call Donald 2.0, but the fact remains, he is the same Donald in his true self.
Except Donald 2.0’s ugliness is going to be even harsher.
Let us look at some of Trump’s nominees for his 2.0 team:
Many of them are outright not fit for high offices, but Susie Wiles might be an exception. In his first term, Trump changed his chief of staff four times, one of whom was a four-star general and the other three were politically pretty high-powered. This time around he has picked Susie Wiles to fill the hot seat. Wiles has previously managed several politicians’ election campaign, including Trump’s. There is not much about her political stances. I suppose she will survive in her gatekeeper role longer than her predecessors.
The most controversial of his choices so far is Matt Gaetz, the Florida lawmaker, who has been nominated to be the country’s Attorney General. Like Trump, he is, to our sense of commonsense justice, a felon. (The US House Ethics Committee’s investigation into his alleged sexual misconduct, illicit drug use and misuse of campaign funds. Trump is obviously trying to tell the America’s present judiciary who the boss really is.)
Trump has also picked a leading critic of China, Republican Representative Mike Waltz, to be his national security adviser. Waltz has often criticized China’s activity in the Asia-Pacific and has voiced the need for the United States to be ready for a potential conflict in the region with China.
Trump’s pick of Florida Senator Marco Rubio to be the Secretary of State is certainly most concerning to China. Rubio is a Cuban American who holds a biblical hatred for anything “communist”. To him, “Communist” China poses the greatest threat to American workers, families, and communities. He had labelled Trump a "con artist" in an earlier primary and passed some nasty remarks on Trump’s attitude towards women. Will Trump really forgive him for making those “aberrations”?
I believe Rubio has never stepped foot on China and is still thinking that China is a Stalinist world – totally authoritarian, oppressive of the minorities and aggressive towards its neighbours. He naturally supports the DPP leaders in Taiwan. Rubio’s support for Hong Kong democracy protesters earned him Chinese sanctions in 2020.
Nominated as Defense Secretary is Pete Hegseth, who is a Fox News anchor. He is said to have serious character issues. And Robert F Kennedy Jr, a vaccine sceptic has been named for the Health portfolio. However, I believe the latter, though idealistic in nature, is a good man at heart.
Everyone knows Elon Musk; he is a buddy of Trump. Musk will be Trump’s point man in his effort to turn things upside down. His pick of young Hindu-American billionaire Vivek Ramaswamy to be Musk’s deputy does raise some eyebrows. The latter is someone who wheels and deals in a manner that are usually more than meets the eye. (Remember, he himself harbours presidential ambitions.)
Trump rewards those who are loyal to him regardless of situations and is vindictive to those who have “betrayed” him. His defence lawyer John Sauer as the solicitor general and Tulsi Gabbard as the director of national intelligence are cases in point in respect of the former category; and Mike Pompeii and Nikki Haley are examples of the latter.
Steven Cheung is the sole yellow-skin Trump has named to his team. He is going to be Trump’s director of Communications. There is also a press secretary; I do not know how they can separate their duties. Maybe “director of Communications” is the more gloried term for Cheung when he escorts Trump around.
Despite his popularity, Trump is an outlier. His unconventionality may ruffle the Deep State’s feathers if it cuts too much into the latter’s grand scheme of things. And the power of the Deep State may prove to be too great for him to survive.
One
thing is clear: Trump is indeed predictable. He is Dennis the Menace. He really
has no concept about how to make America great again; his MAGA slogan is
designed to make the vulnerable and ignorant, who comprise maybe 60% of the
country’s population, place hope on him as their solution to the state America
is today. But they refuse to see or seem oblivious to his meanness. (Her own
niece authored a book about him and tells us how nasty the man is, even to his
close relatives.) Those who have been following his business “achievements”
know they were built on the very weaknesses of America’s wheeling and dealing
culture, not on a foundation of good corporate practices. Character quality is
no issue to him, as long as they are happy to do his biddings. He will sack
anyone who tries to be too clever. (Remember the number of “professionals” and
“experts” he sacked during his first term? Most Biden appointees stayed with
him through his four years.) He hates intellectually looking women – people
like Hillary Clinton and Ursula von der Leyen – and loves erotically dressed
women, not necessary the pretty looking type, though.
And the outright stupid…
Where is Joe? |
In the world today, there are many who also fall into this category. Just a couple of days ago, France’s Emmanuel Macron and the UK’s Keir Starmer in Armistice Day ceremony, pledged to support Ukraine for as long as necessary “to thwart Russia’s war of aggression”. Doesn’t armistice mean “an agreement made by opposing sides in a war to stop fighting for a certain time, or a truce? Didn’t Trump say he was going to end the war “in one day”? And we just heard that Zelenskyy is about to give up? What are these two morons up to?
Von der Leyen lost no time in congratulating Trump but what did she get from Trump? A cold thank you! By doing everything to decouple from China, she is going to bring more hardship to EU countries during the next four years. A dumb blonde indeed!
The biggest loser is going to be Volodymyr Zelenskyy. His life might even be in danger. The war will end soon, but much destruction has already been done to Ukraine. It is time for Ukrainians to realize the folly of trying to upset their Russian cousins with their NATO and EU membership pursuits. You should live with your neighbours and cousins who, in the first place, had not caused you miseries, unlike those who suffered in the Baltic satellites in the Soviet time.
The smarter ones…
Trump
will be asking to see them, and countries like Singapore will be most happy to
play host to such meetings.
Trump’s presidency will not be generous to anyone. For many leaders in Southeast Asia, West Asia, Africa and Latin and South America, they have already seen enough of the true colours of American leadership during the last eight years. They know which side of their bread is best buttered and are likely to chart their own destinies.
And those who are stuck
I am no expert in the histories of other pre-modern states. However, as a student of leadership studies, I do take pride in my understanding of the ups-and-downs of China and what it is today.
Historically and culturally speaking, China has been around – continuously – for five thousand years. It has gone through many tumultuous times – civil wars, foreign occupations, calamities that caused widespread famine and disease, etc. A ruler is expected to rule with 仁 (ren – humaneness, kindness, benevolence), i.e., a tall degree of moral conduct. When a ruler lost his “mandate of heaven”, he would be overthrown, usually in a bloody way, and a new ruler would rose. This concept of Mandate of Heaven is often attributed to Confucius. However, the credit should actually go to Zhou-gong.
Zhou-gong was Duke Wen of Zhou (周文公, Zhou Wen-kong; personal name Dan 旦 1042–1035 BC). He was member of the royal family of the early Zhou (周) dynasty who played a key role in consolidating the kingdom established by his elder brother. He was renowned for acting as a capable and loyal regent for his young nephew King Cheng (周成王) and establishing firm-rule of the Zhou dynasty over eastern China. Confucius credited him for the authorship of the I-ching (易經 – Scripture ) and the Xer-ching (詩経 - Classic Poetry), as well as the establishment of the Rites of Zhou.
King Wu died three years after founding the dynasty and the throne was passed to his youngest son King Cheng. Zhou-gong became the regent and administered the kingdom. Zhou-gong was credited with the introduction of the doctrine of the Mandate of Heaven. (The preceding dynasty – Shang – was plagued by injustice and decadence and so had offended Heaven leading to its downfall.) It is said that he administered the kingdom with great benevolence and once King Cheng came of age, Zhou-gong stepped down. The later rulers considered Zhou-gong a paragon of virtue and honoured him posthumously and one even elevated Zhou-gong to be the 文宪王 (Wénxiàn Wáng or King of Cultural Exemplariness). He was also known as the First Sage (元圣, Yuán Shèng). (In 2004, Chinese archaeologists reported that they may have found his tomb complex in Shaanxi.) In the Analects, Confucius is said to have said, "How I have gone downhill! It has been such a long time since I dreamt of the Duke of Zhou." This was meant as a lamentation of how the governmental ideals of the Zhou-gong had faded. In short, Zhou-gong is said to exemplify the highest form of benevolence and people-first philosophy in statecraft. These were the sage rulers!
Xi Jinping is a modern-day Zhou-gong. And China’s reemergence to help balance bring hope to the Global South is just the beginning.