Wednesday, August 21, 2024

Prof Wang Gungwu – A Historian Without Equal – on China

 

Prof Wang’s scholarship is world renowned, but I have only been seriously following his writings, lectures, talks and interviews after I got involved in a thought leadership orgnisation in 2016. (I had the opportunity to be introduced to him earlier, but that was more on a social basis; he was a VVIP in a function and I, a minor guest.)

His philosophical depth in defining terms which we often use in the most casual manner has a deep impact on the way I think about things now. For example, we were quite happy to be called huá qiáo (华侨, overseas Chinese) when we should be identifying ourselves as huá yì (华裔, ethnic Chinese). Some may argue, “What’s the big deal?” I think there is, but maybe I should leave it to another day to explain the fundamental difference. I also watched another recent interview of him; apparently, he is now working to define wén mínɡ (文明, loosely, civilization) and wén huà (文化, loosely, culture) more definitively. Ditto on “Nation” and “Country”.

When someone alerted me that he would be giving an on-line lecture at HELP University on 10 August, I lost no time in signing up for a seat at the university’s Damansara auditorium. Several distinguished historians were there to hear from him on “China – From Middle Kingdom to World Power: WHAT OF THE FUTURE?” Some were Prof Wang’s students when he was with the University of Malaya. I was happy to see my friends Dr Stephen Leong Mun Yoon and Tan Sin Su there. Dr Leong is a historian in his own right and he and Prof Wang were teaching at the university in those early days.

Well before the US-China tensions, Prof Wang in a lecture he gave at the National University of Singapore in 2016 was already talking about the South China Sea’s vulnerability as the big powers’ pond. But no one could imagine how the relationship between these two countries has soured so much since then. In his 10 August lecture, he spoke for more than an hour, seemingly without notes, on the events leading to China’s rise as a world power in the modern time. (Prof Wang will be turning 94 in October; he is so incredibly robust and sharp!)

To him, the watershed year in the US-China relationship was 2008, when the world suffered a financial crisis. It was China that bailed out America. And this awoken the US. How can a protégé become stronger than the master? Everyone knew China was for decades in a pathetic mess before Nixon visited China. Prof Wang also touched on the term world power, a notion which had not existed until the West began to colonize the world. Even the US was not one until after the end of World War II. And now China is being seen as one.

It is now the US’s obsession to contain China, and because of its constant muscle-flexing in front of China’s doorsteps – in the name of upholding free navigation and protecting its vassals and allies in the region – it has also created an obsession on China’s part to build its naval might. (And militarily, China needs the depths of that sea to operate its submarine fleet.) The region is now gripped by two opposing obsessions!

However, Prof Wang was a little ambivalent on the legitimacy of China over its disputes with the other claimants in the region. He argues that maritime boundaries are almost impossible to determine. China’s claim is entirely borne out of historical records – from the Ming and the Qing – but the entire sea was virtually under the Japanese until after the conclusion of World War II upon which the sovereignty of the islands in the South China Sea was supposed to revert to China, which was under the Kuomintang government of the Republic of China then. In 1949, the Kuomintang government fled to Taiwan and the People Republic of China (PRC) now says it is the rightful owner of these islands. Prof Wang has been quite consistent on this stance over the years. I do understand his position; he understood international laws quite differently from the customary ones held by us Chinese. I suppose that might be the reason he has not been well acknowledged by China all these years, despite his scholarship and academic standing.

In fielding a question, Prof Wang said that the Nine-Dash Line, as appeared in maps published by the Kuomintang government and PRC, had historically never been objected, contested, or challenged by any party until more recently. He explained that this is probably because China was no threat to any power when the map was first drawn, and [in the 1950s and 1960s] PRC was not a member of UN, hence no one paid any attention or importance of this line at that time. Since no one contested, these maps formed the legal basis of China’s assertion on the legality of this line. However, he also said there are also historical records to support such assertions. (Sin Su helped me to recall this part.)

In a recent interview with SCMP, Dr Wu Shicun (吴士), the founder of the National Institute for South China Sea Studies in China said that the XiSha Islands (西沙群, Paracel Islands) had long been mapped out during the Ming dynasty and were Chinese possessions. However, in the wake of Imperial Japan’s seizure of northeast China, France in 1931 took control of nine islands and reefs, including ZhongYe Dao (业岛, Thitu Island) in the South China Sea. All these are in the NanSha Islands cluster (南沙群島, Spratly Islands), though. When China was in the grip of the Cultural Revolution, the Philippines under the then Marcos Senior, sent his military to take over a number of islands in Nansha including FeiXin Dao (費信島, Flat Island) and ZhongYe Dao. This was in the 1970s. As both Beijing and Taipei did not respond militarily, the Philippines conducted five more military operations and took over eight more Chinese and reefs. RenAi Jiao (爱礁Second Thomas Shoal was not amongst them, though. However, I must say even though Dr Wu says these NanSha islands and reefs were originally China’s, he did not quite substantiate his assertion with more solid evidence. He did say that Beijing has never claimed that the whole of the South China Sea belongs to China, nonetheless, he contends that these islands and reefs should all be returned to the Chinese people.


In the absence of any legitimate record, I actually found it difficult to support positions taken by people like Dr Wu, even though it was obvious that the only country which had an intimate knowledge of the South China Sea was certainly China. However, I did find it difficult to support the Philippines’s claim either. The Filipino’s concept of nationhood did not arise until the late 1800s and seas beyond the main islands were rainbows to them. However, recently a friend forwarded me a CGTN article which carried an opinion of Anthony Carty (profile below) who had gone through British and French archives, spanning from the 1880s to the late 1970s, to look at the historical understanding of sovereignty of NanSha Islands. He discovered that “the archives demonstrate, taken as a whole, that it is the view of the British and French legal experts that as a matter of international law territory the XiSha Islands and the NanSha Islands are Chinese territory.”

On NanSha, he says “French legal advice was that France never completed an effective occupation of the Spratlys, and they abandoned them completely in 1956. In the 1930s, they recognised that these Spratlys had always been home to Chinese fishermen from Hainan and Guangdong. There had never been any Vietnamese or Philippine connection and French interference had only been in its own name and not that of Vietnam. It is the British who then drew a decisive conclusion, from all the French and British records available, that the Chinese were the owners of the Spratlys, a legal position certified as part of British Cabinet records in 1974.

Interestingly, he also discovered a record in the US National Archives, circa mid-1950s, in which the under-secretary of state says that the Filipinos have no claim to the Spratlys and it is the US interest to encourage them to make a claim anyway to keep Communist China out of the area.

Be that as it may, an arbitral tribunal in 2016 ruled in favour of the Philippines on most of its submissions. However, it clarified that while it would not "rule on any question of sovereignty ... and would not delimit any maritime boundary", China's historic rights claims over maritime areas (as opposed to land masses and territorial waters) within the "nine-dash line" have no lawful effect unless entitled to under UNCLOS. China, which did not participate, has rejected the ruling, as has Taiwan. The United Nations does not hold any position on the case or on the disputed claims. And I understand the ruling is not legally binding.

There may be too much water under the bridge already. And China might be fighting an uphill battle. The South China Sea is full of players now. The map below shows how it has been divided based on oil and gas interests, though there are overlapping claims in many parts. It is might that matters now. No matter how strong China’s legal position is in XiSha and NanSha, it will have to contend with the Vietnamese in the former and the Philippines, Malaysia, and Brunei or even Indonesia in the latter.

It is likely that Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, and Indonesia are likely to be able to come to terms with China on the pond’s resources, I do not see that this route will be possible with the Philippines, as long as Marcos Junior is helming the country.

But as far as China is concerned, its military and naval control (not ownership) over the pond is non-negotiable, for it means life or death for China. The possession of RenAi Jiao and HuangYan Dao (黄岩, the Scarborough Shoal) is absolutely important to China – as long as America and its hoodlums seek to use the Philippines to contain China. Maybe China should say this louder and clearer to the world. (Prof Wang was posed this question by a member of the audience: Isn’t this hard stance of China destroying the very image it wants to project to the world? I cannot quite recall Prof Wang’s reply, but I believe he took pain to talk about role of soft power in geopolitics.  


Anthony Carty (born 1947; PhD Cambridge), is a legal scholar at the Beijing Institute of Technology. Previously, he was a law professor at Tsinghua University and the University of Hong Kong (Sir YK Pao Chair of Public Law), after a career in Britain.

Postscript:

I also love to show off the following picture to friends. Two great historians – Prof Wang and Dr Leong – holding the two books which have been self-published by me. The contents of the two books must be of elementary stuff to them!






5 comments:

  1. 2/n

    It must be because China sees things long-term and only wants to invest in building relationships based on others accepting her as she is and thus her peoples for what they had gone through in the previous two centuries which in turn informs on the rationale of her present-day policies coming forward that one finds the reason why Xi had said there is no Thucydides Trap expounded by Allision in his Destined for War with regards US-China relations - unlike what Imperial Great Britain had done to Imperial Germany and the Austro-Hungarian Empire prior to WWI.

    That the US has only consistently exercised no mutual respect towards China, still persists in disrupting her progress and thus peaceful existence, and treats her like its most existential of all threats, what more crafting a new nuclear deployment policy against her, not to forget its mccarthyistic anti-China technology sanctions and its China Initiative to demonize China's STEM academicians in US universities - these all bespeak an unspeakable racism targeting a specific tribe that has existed for millennia - long before the US' Chinese Exclusion Act was enacted and that was after the UK's 'Dogs and Chinese Not Allowed' - on China's own soil.

    ReplyDelete
  2. 3/n

    That all alluded, what remains is 'what is China in essence?', namely the notions of 'people, culture and sovereignty' combined with, perhaps, Lin Yutang's take on the Chinese being artistic by nature which, looking at their prowess in STEM, one can add, 'that, at the least'.

    Standing once long ago and not unlikely on the very same spot that Su Tungpo's horse had stood by at one of Hangzhou's lakes, one can thus be excused for taking grave exception to the lack of diplomatic civility one US White House staff had dismissively denigrated of Ren's use of metaphors when trying to defend a Huawei attacked for no good reason than being better.

    What so far are these ramblings about peoples and culture, one may now converge onto the notion of sovereignty on which SouthChinaSea matter is thus posed this question:

    if the Americans, British and French had acknowledged China's sovereignty over that space in addition to her sovereign claims on historical grounds to include Taiwan and the Diaoyu islets, why have they together with other Europeans in the Hague persisted in ignoring their own admissions in the Potsdam Proclamation and the Cairo Declaration?

    Could it be they are now saying they only recognize China's sovereignties if and only if by 'China', they had exclusively meant that country which is called the 'Republic of China', an island of 24 million, as opposed to the Peoples Republic of China, a nation of 1,400 million? Isn't that already an absurdity for if it were not so, which country was that which has won as many Olympic'24 gold medals as the US besides sitting in the UN Security Council?

    The attempts to muddle the veracity of those two declarations, an output of the West itself at the doorstep of Imperial Japan's dissolution after WWII ended, have sunk further when one Richard Bush declared they were irrelevant because they never stipulated whether the Republic of China was supposed to relinquish the island to Beijing. How convenient, and what's his credentials, one may be so bold as to ask.


    ReplyDelete
  3. 4/n

    The bottomline about sovereignty is this: as the sole and supreme hegemon of this world, the US wants to define everything to its own national interest and wherever found wanting, it will move its goalpost and tell its allies to look the other way because they are all in it together, for better or worse.

    That's why Keating and others today can categorically say the capital of Australia is Washington DC and Aukus as the new playbook of the US-UK compact is to make Canberra pay in advance without recompense claim in case of non-delivery, those nuclear subs designed by the US, made in the UK, and sub-penned in Australia in bases commanded by the US - because Australia is the new end of the First Island Chain that spits at China from the permanent US aircraft carrier that is centralized in Taiwan - which was supposed to belong to Beijing, if by sovereignty one accepts it must mean (a) being independent of the national interests of foreign parties which only go by their own political expendiencies, and (b) representative by origination of the peoples and culture of the original nation.

    In these regards, who are those foreign parties if not the US and Japan and where did the peoples on the island first come from?

    Once we accept the West and Japan have tried to steal a whole island from China, not to forget the rest of her historical claims within the 9-dashed line, it is only academic going forward what China will have to do - which is to continue to clamor for regional cooperation to the exclusion of mischief-maker USA, while building her naval and air forces in the eventuality of a conflict triggered by the US and Japan coming too close to the Taiwan Straits, or Marcos, Jr falling into the vice-grip of the US' Thucydides Trap, sprung to salvage what's left of its 'relevance' in Asia.

    All this US kagemusha brouhaha is because it wants to contain a China whose government it does not recognize but yet expects to help bailout the US. Xi asking when Blinken will be leaving Beijing already shows China no longer countenances such two-faced forked-tongue backstabbings that are the hallmarks of US so-called rules-based international order.

    ReplyDelete
  4. 5/5

    To wit, one must return to the role of the western media in disinformation. Consider the other Bush. During the time of Bush, Snr, Deng had told off Scowcroft that it was the US which had instigated the students in the Tiananmen incident.

    The western media went home on the incident by plastering their photo of the tankman student who had stood in front of advancing tanks, brought in after anti-riot forces were cremated by molotov cocktails, like those used not too long ago in HK SAR under the direction of the CIA for which it is abundantly odd why Oxford chancellor and HK's ex-governor Patten had remained too obsequious to bring up.

    Now the question is this: did that tank roll over that student to make him a zebra-crossing which would have shown brutality? Until recently unearthed by a British researcher (on authoritarianism101), a footage video finally shows the tank tried to go around the student, he moved in front of it again, and then a group of his fellow rioters came forward to coax him to move away unharmed. Blame it on CPC pride not to be too bothered about thinking they could change western perceptions because they have already concluded the west (a) wants only to contain China, (b) demonize her CPC, and (c) destroy her industrial base, thus bringing her down in the way the US had destroyed the USSR by faking a Star Wars Initiative and psychologically forcing Moscow to overspend on military catchup, thus destroying its economy and destabilizing its society.

    Thus, with all the derring-does mounted against her, China must continue to progress wherever it matters so that she can (a) craft her own soft pro-help powers for the 21st century, and (b) help other nations in Asia through dedollarising currency swaps applied to RCEP strengthened by an India that can now see merits in its participation for its own national interests nurtured on the platform of regional peace; that shouldn't be too difficult given how China supplies her much-needed factory expertise to help India build its manufacturing base even while knowing New Delhi delays the working visa's, blocks her mobile apps and delays resolution on the cross-border issues that are relics of colonial British malfeasance. Unlike the US all the time against China, China never said India is any rival.

    The horse has impatiently neighed so this rambling stream of consciousness in a long comment must end. But that's because the prospect of a simple dinner beckons.

    ReplyDelete
  5. 6/6

    https://tinyurl.com/nhey4skv

    https://tinyurl.com/2zhkrs2n

    ReplyDelete